在结束两天的会议后,北京时间今天凌晨,美联储宣布加息25个基点。
这是2018年以来美国首次加息。
从新闻稿看,联储认为价格压力是普遍的,不只是能源价格,还有劳动力等,目前的失业率已明显下降(2月份美国CPI通胀率为7.9%,40年来最高;失业率为3.8%,已接近疫前水平)。
联储准备从下次会议开始,减少国债和机构债MBS的持有量。
投票委员中,圣路易斯联储主席James Bullard投票加息50个基点。
据FT报道,在会后的记者会上,联储主席鲍威尔谈到加息是为了应对高通胀和紧张的劳动力市场 extremely tight labor market in high inflation.
点阵图(dot plot,投票委员对利率区间的预测)显示,联储官员比三个月前调高了利率预测,预计2022年剩下的时间还将加息6次,2023年加息至少3次。联邦基金利率届时将达到2.8%,高于影响经济增长的“中性位置”(多数官员预测的中性利率为2.4%)。
美国CPI(1965-2022)
DeFi收益聚合器Yeld.finance损失的16万DAI已被归还:2月27日消息,Yeld.finance官方表示,被闪电贷攻击造成的16万DAI已经被归还,此次活动疑似是白帽所为,官方将进一步更新细节。[2021/2/27 17:59:06]
美国劳动参与率(1948-2022)
联储新闻稿如下:
March 16, 2022
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT
Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. Job gains have been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined substantially. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.
The invasion of Ukraine by Russia is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The implications for the U.S. economy are highly uncertain, but in the near term the invasion and related events are likely to create additional upward pressure on inflation and weigh on economic activity.
ZEC突破62美元关口 日内涨幅为3.26%:火币全球站数据显示,ZEC短线上涨,突破62美元关口,现报62.02美元,日内涨幅达到3.26%,行情波动较大,请做好风险控制。[2020/11/12 14:08:06]
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With appropriate firming in the stance of monetary policy, the Committee expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/4 to 1/2 percent and anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee expects to begin reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities at a coming meeting.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Esther L. George; Patrick Harker; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller. Voting against this action was James Bullard, who preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.5 percentage point to 1/2 to 3/4 percent. Patrick Harker voted as an alternate member at this meeting.
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Crypto 的一项鲜为人知的创新是 DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization, 去中心化自治组织),这是一种建立在区块链和智能合约上的社会组织形式。 著名投资者 Mark Cuban 将 DAO 誉为“资本主义和进步主义的结合”。在 Crypto 领域,DAO 被称为“最重要的创新”和“工作的未来”。
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我们不再分析近期波动的事件和驱动因素,而是从更基本的层面探究波动性,探索比特币波动如此剧烈的原因以及如何看待它。 为何比特币波动性这么大 几乎每个持币者都熟悉比特币的价格波动,当然也是因为这种波动总是头条新闻。但比特币究竟为什么如此不稳定呢?从根本上说,是什么导致了这一现象? 首先,区分短期和长期波动是有帮助的。
如果你有一个喜欢加密货币的朋友,那么现在是时候看看他们了。1 月下旬,两种最受欢迎的加密货币比特币和以太坊的价格暴跌至许多专家从未预料到的水平,像狗狗币这样的 memecoin也被拖累。无数人目睹了数千英镑在他们眼前消失。 这是突然的震惊,而不是缓慢的燃烧。比特币在 11 月达到了约69,000 美元的历史新高,但随后在几个月内下跌了40%以上。